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Time For Investors To Be concerned about Netflix Stock?

The FAANG team of mega cap stocks developed hefty returns for investors throughout 2020. The group, whose members consist of Facebook (NASDAQ:FB), Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) and Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) benefited greatly from the COVID 19 pandemic as people sheltering into position used the products of theirs to shop, work and entertain online.

During the past 12 months alone, Facebook gained thirty five %, Amazon rose 78 %, Apple was up 86 %, Netflix discovered a 61 % boost, and Google’s parent Alphabet is actually up 32 %. As we enter 2021, investors are actually wondering in case these tech titans, optimized for lockdown commerce, will achieve very similar or even better upside this season.

From this particular group of 5 stocks, we’re analyzing Netflix today – a high-performer throughout the pandemic, it is today facing a distinctive competitive threat.

Stay-at-Home Appeal Diminishing?
Netflix has been one of the strongest equity performers of 2020. The company and its stock benefited from the stay-at-home atmosphere, spurring need because of its streaming service. The stock surged about ninety % off the low it hit on March sixteen, until mid October.

NFLX Weekly TTMNFLX Weekly TTM
However, during the previous three weeks, that rally has run out of steam, as the company’s key rival Disney (NYSE:DIS) acquired a lot of ground of the streaming fight.

Within a year of its launch, the DIS’s streaming service, Disney+, today has greater than 80 million paid subscribers. That is a significant jump from the 57.5 million it reported in the summer quarter. That compares with Netflix’s 195 million members as of September.

These successes by Disney+ came at the same time Netflix has been reporting a slowdown in the subscriber growth of its. Netflix in October discovered it included 2.2 million members in the third quarter on a net foundation, light of the forecast of its in July of 2.5 million new subscriptions for the period.

But Disney+ isn’t the only headache for Netflix. AT&T’s (NYSE:T) WarnerMedia division can be found in the midst of a comparable restructuring as it focuses primarily on its new HBO Max streaming wedge. As well, Comcast’s (NASDAQ:CMCSA) NBCUniversal is actually realigning its entertainment businesses to give priority to its new Peacock streaming service.

Negative Cash Flows
Apart from climbing competition, what makes Netflix a lot more weak among the FAANG team is the company’s small money position. Given that the service spends a lot to develop its exclusive shows and capture international markets, it burns a good deal of money each quarter.

In order to improve its cash position, Netflix raised prices because of its most popular program throughout the last quarter, the next time the company has done so in as a long time. The action could prove counterproductive in an atmosphere in which individuals are losing jobs and competition is heating up. In the past, Netflix priced hikes have led to a slowdown in subscriber growth, particularly in the more-mature U.S. market.

Benchmark analyst Matthew Harrigan last week raised very similar concerns in the note of his, warning that subscriber growth may well slow in 2021:

“Netflix’s trading correlation with other prominent NASDAQ 100  and FAAMG names has now clearly broken down as one) trust in the streaming exceptionalism of its is fading relatively even as 2) the stay-at-home trade might be “very 2020″ in spite of a bit of concern about how U.K. and South African virus mutations can impact Covid 19 vaccine efficacy.”

His 12-month price target for Netflix stock is $412, about twenty % below its present level.

Bottom Line

Netflix’s stay-at-home appeal made it both one of the best mega hats as well as tech stocks in 2020. But as the competition heats up, the business has to show it is the top streaming choice, and it’s well positioned to defend its turf.

Investors seem to be taking a break from Netflix stock as they hold out to find out if that can occur.

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